Subtidal sea level data skill

A quick look at a hindcast shows pretty good skill when predicting coastal sea level (skill = 0.61). This is surprising, since there seem to be essentially no loop current effects. The errors that are there are most likely due to buoyancy forcing. Take a look (grey line is unfiltered sea level measurements, black is lowpassed (33 hr) measurements, and red is lowpassed model sea level. All time series are demeaned over the time interval shown, but not detrended):


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